7 Comments
Oct 14Liked by Unemployed Value Degen

The legal overhang is in the rearview after the settlement with the county. I wrote up my thoughts on why the CCC is a nothing burger (and now they are potentially a target of Elon Musk), but they are very close to having the pipelines ready to go, and they are working directly with the fire marshal, which has state and federal authority.

My recent post is the long (and more complete) version of that argument, but this thing is basically a dirt cheap, catalyst rich, complicated situation where the potential upside was worth the digging. The market won't really respond until first production, but this thing will get simpler over the next 3-6 months, and when that happens, shares won't be stuck in neutral.

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Oct 13Liked by Unemployed Value Degen

Why would Exxon sell for 650M an asset that will generate 1.3 billions in a few years? My guess is that for whatever reasons (legal or technical) they are sceptical about the chance to restart production...

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author

California puts rules on oil producers that affevt them globally. All major oil companies divested California assets, and now those operations are done by California only companies

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Nov 21Liked by Unemployed Value Degen

wow Li Lu bought $32m last quarter. https://www.dataroma.com/m/m_activity.php?m=HC&typ=a

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author

Yeah, it seems partially derisked enough for serious value investors, not just degens

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Nov 21Liked by Unemployed Value Degen

greenhaven road also bought and wrote in his letter. he said he's never done oil and gas before. https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5498841ce4b0311b8ddc012b/t/672f714841861437b8578856/1731162441691/Greenhaven+Road+-+2024+Q3+FINAL-.pdf

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founding

for people who want to follow this story, i recommend:

https://x.com/CorneliaLake

and

kontrarian korner

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